Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.183367 0.215695 0.251790 0.295041 0.345427 0.402240 0.471135
2025-10-12 0.143174 0.187208 0.241494 0.313191 0.405245 0.519321 0.671281
2025-10-19 0.117270 0.165861 0.230322 0.321772 0.447841 0.615158 0.853705
2025-10-26 0.097401 0.147030 0.216981 0.322246 0.476065 0.691957 1.017229
2025-11-02 0.080153 0.128149 0.199505 0.312582 0.486441 0.742627 1.147537
2025-11-09 0.065727 0.110733 0.180965 0.297600 0.485358 0.774405 1.251300
2025-11-16 0.057392 0.101389 0.173118 0.297378 0.505840 0.839593 1.411786
2025-11-23 0.049129 0.090773 0.161530 0.289075 0.511497 0.880903 1.537316
2025-11-30 0.044549 0.085775 0.158528 0.294529 0.540230 0.962152 1.736678
2025-12-07 0.039864 0.079848 0.153014 0.294618 0.559194 1.028162 1.916007
2025-12-14 0.034952 0.072746 0.144377 0.287741 0.564439 1.070081 2.056123
2025-12-21 0.031445 0.067867 0.139229 0.286649 0.579997 1.131636 2.237655
2025-12-28 0.029772 0.066711 0.141602 0.301433 0.629596 1.265057 2.575787
2026-01-04 0.028472 0.066193 0.145279 0.319530 0.688416 1.423437 2.981945
2026-01-11 0.026424 0.063711 0.144519 0.328242 0.729051 1.550368 3.339538
2026-01-18 0.023941 0.059840 0.140225 0.328722 0.752274 1.644356 3.639750
2026-01-25 0.021014 0.054449 0.131802 0.318870 0.751744 1.688657 3.839977
2026-02-01 0.018118 0.048657 0.121636 0.303596 0.737061 1.700818 3.971628
2026-02-08 0.016515 0.045853 0.118093 0.303370 0.756723 1.789965 4.282953
2026-02-15 0.014637 0.042023 0.111525 0.294906 0.755833 1.832684 4.493217
2026-02-22 0.013697 0.040559 0.110649 0.300466 0.789467 1.958106 4.908666
2026-03-01 0.012585 0.038436 0.107788 0.300556 0.809498 2.053530 5.262774
2026-03-08 0.011279 0.035544 0.102497 0.293546 0.810578 2.103383 5.511348